This is a most excellent place for technology news and articles.
It's absurd that some of the larger LLMs now use hundreds of billions of parameters (e.g. llama3.1 with 405B).
This doesn't really seem like a smart usage of ressources if you need several of the largest GPUs available to even run one conversation.
I wonder how many GPUs my brain is
It's a lot. Like a lot a lot. GPUs have about 150 billion transistors but those transistors only make 1 connection in what is essentially printed in a 2d space on silicon.
Each neuron makes dozens of connections, and there's on the order of almost 100 billion neurons in a blobby lump of fat and neurons that takes up 3d space. And then combine the fact that multiple neurons in patterns firing is how everything actually functions and you have such absurdly high number of potential for how powerful human brains are.
At this point, I'm not sure there's enough gpus in the world to mimic what a human brain can do.
That's also just the electrical portion of our mind. There are whole levels of chemical, and chemical potentials at work. Neurones will fire differently depending on the chemical soup around them. Most of our moods are chemically based. E.g. adrenaline and testosterone making us more aggressive.
Our mind also extends out of our heads. Organ transplant recipricants have noted personality changes. Food preferences being the most prevailant.
The neurons only deal with 'fast' thinking. 'slow' thinking is far more complex and distributed.
I don't think your brain can be reasonably compared with an LLM, just like it can't be compared with a calculator.
LLMs are based on neural networks which are a massively simplified model of how our brain works. So you kind of can as long as you keep in mind they are orders of magnitude more simple.
At some point it becomes so “simplified” it’s arguably just not the same thing, even conceptually.
Seeing as how the full unquantized FP16 for Llama 3.1 405B requires around a terabyte of VRAM (16 bits per parameter + context), I'd say way more than several.
That's capitalism
Larger models train faster (need less compute), for reasons not fully understood. These large models can then be used as teachers to train smaller models more efficiently. I've used Qwen 14B (14 billion parameters, quantized to 6-bit integers), and it's not too much worse than these very large models.
Lately, I've been thinking of LLMs as lossy text/idea compression with content-addressable memory. And 10.5GB is pretty good compression for all the "knowledge" they seem to retain.
I understand folks don't like AI but this "article" is like a reddit post with lots of links to subjects which are vague and need the link text to tell us what is important, instead of relying on the actual article.
What the fuck you aren't kidding. I have comment replies to trolls that are longer than that article. The over the top citations also makes me think this was entirely written by an actual AI bot that was lrompted to supply x amoint of sources in their article. Lol
repeat after me: LLMs are not AI.
LLMs are one version of AI. It's just one tiny part of AIs that are used every day, from chess bots to voice transcription, but they also are AI.
I would replace the word version with aspect. LLMs are merely one part of the puzzle that would be AI. Essentially what's been constructed is the mouth and the part of the brain that can form words but without any of the reasoning or intelligence behind what the mouth says.
The same goes for the art AIs. They can paint pictures based on input but they can't reason how those pictures should look. Which is why it requires so much tweaking to get them to output something that doesn't look like it came out of a Lovecraft novel.
It's pretty obvious that they will hit a ceiling.
Quick buck is over. And now it's time again for base research to create better approach.
I really wish we had a really advanced AI with reasonable resource consumption within my lifetime. I don't think it's unreasonable as we have got really far in the last 30 years of computational technology.
We've come a long way in computing, but the computational power difference between a human brain and a computer is significant. LLMs were just a smart way to have computers learn pattern recognition. While important, it isn't anything close to artificial general intelligence (AGI), which is what the term AI usually means.
Yeah. AI may grind for a while but hardly anyone has put the current stuff to work, yet. We will be feeling the benefits of what is released right now for a decade to come. I am working on a very rudimentary application that will use ML at work and it won't come out for 12 more months, and it hardly does anything but make the most obvious decisions 10m times faster than I can. But it's going to fundamentally change our labor model.
There are regular folks applying amazing technologies that go way beyond content generation.
The tech may grind but the application of that tech is barely getting its feet and should run hard for a decade.
I really wish we had a really advanced AI with reasonable resource consumption within my lifetime.
You only wish that for as long as it doesn't happen. Have you looked at the world we live in? Such tools would be controlled by the same billionaire dipshits for their personal gain as all social media is being used already.
The problem isn't with the AI. It's with how it's being treated. It's currently being sold as if it were general intelligence. Which it's not. It should instead be treated like it's a mindless tool. Something that is inert on its own. Useful for some things but only in a limited sense. Unfortunately the companies, who have spent millions of dollars developing these things, are trying to sell it as the "do-all" artificial intelligence that people have grown up seeing in sci-fi media. Which it 100% is not.
OpenAI, Google, Anthropic admit they can’t scale up their chatbots any further
Lol, no they didn't. The quotes this articles are using are talking about LLMs not chatbots. This is yet another stupid article from someone who doesn't understand the technology. There is a lot of legitimate criticism for the way this technology is being implemented but FFS get the basics right at least.
Are you asserting that chatbots are so fundamentally different from LLMs that "oh shit we can't just throw more CPU and data at this anymore" doesn't apply to roughly the same degree?
I feel like people are using those terms pretty well interchangeably lately anyway
Claiming that David Gerrard an Amy Castor "don't understand the technology" is uh.... Hoo boy... Well it sure is a take.
A 4 paragraph "article" lol
Are you suggesting “pivot-to-ai.com” isn’t the pinnacle of journalism?
So long and thanks for all the fish habitat?
Though, I don't think that means they won't get any better. It just means they don't scale by feeding in more training data. But that's why OpenAI changed their approach and added some reasoning abilities. And we're developing/researching things like multimodality etc... There's still quite some room for improvements.
It's a known problem - though of course, because these companies are trying to push AI into everything and oversell it to build hype and please investors, they usually try to avoid recognizing its limitations.
Frankly I think that now they should focus on making these models smaller and more efficient instead of just throwing more compute at the wall, and actually train them to completion so they'll generalize properly and be more useful.
I smell a sentient AI trying to throw us off it's plans for world domination..
Everyone ignore this comment please. I'm quite human. I have the normal 7 fingers (edit: on each of my three hands!) and everything.
Looks, like AI buble is slowly coming to end just like what happned to crypto and NFT buble.
Sure, except for the thousands of products working pretty well with current gen. And it's not like it's over, now we've hit the limit of "just throw more data at the thing".
Now there aren't gonna be as many breakthroughs that make it better every few months, instead there's gonna be thousand small improvements that make it more capable slowly and steadily. AI is here to stay.
The bubble popping doesn't have to do with its staying power, just that the days of, "Hey, I invented this brand new AI ~~that's totally not just a wrapper for ChatGPT~~. Want to invest a billion dollars‽" are over. AGI is not "just out of reach."
Getting the GPU memory requirements down would be huge as well.
