this post was submitted on 15 Nov 2023
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Incumbents historically have a huge advantage, any new candidate would get absolutely swept by Trump. Most Americans are embarrassingly out of touch with politics
Especially a candidate with left wing politics. There's a reason Democrats run center-left candidates for president once it gets to the general. Those are the ones that win.
The current candidate will get swept by Trump. Or have the polls changed recently?
Polls also had Hillary stomping tRump. Polls shouldn't be trusted. Voting is the only thing that matters polls dont win elections voting does.
Yup, polls can't account for something like an "October surprise". In Hillary's case in 2016, that was the James Comey letter that was leaked by Republicans Congress. It had the desired effect, with her poll numbers dropping virtually overnight. He rescinded the letter, but not fast enough to make a difference. This was all prompted by FBI agents in the NYC office who were leaking like a sieve to the press. So if you ever hear someone grouse about prosecutors supposedly interfering with elections because they are prosecuting Trump for his crimes, remind them that Trump got a whole presidential term out of FBI agents interfering for him.