this post was submitted on 22 Aug 2023
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[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

Come on now, next you’ll be saying the tech industry consistently overplays its incremental improvements as Earth-shattering paradigm shifts purely for the investment money!

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

3 months ago: Everyone’s going to lose their jobs!

Today: Generative AI’s dead!

More realistically: Generative AI is a tool that will gradually get better over time. It is not universally applicable, but it does have a lot of potential applications. It is not going to take over the world, nor will it just suddenly go away.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

That's pretty much been my take from the beginning. My main concerns were and still are:

  • IP law, specifically copyright infringement
  • correctness - ChatGPT makes stuff up
  • detection - esp for school

My main fear was that it would be more useful for scammers and fraudsters than legitimate uses because of the above issues. I still have those concerns.

With any new technology that people say well change the world overnight, take a step back and think it through. For example:

  • self driving cars - we still have taxis, Uber, etc, so it hasn't taken over despite being here for years
  • robotics in manufacturing - it's incredibly expensive to put together and end to end robotic factory, so there are still plenty of manufacturing jobs
  • automated fast food - again, the most I've seen is increased number of kiosks, that's it

And so on. People freak out about new tech, then a couple years later they realize that it's not "finished" and there will be plenty of time to adapt. Unless we recover an alien spaceship or something, that's just not how technology progresses. Eventually generative AI will redically change our society, but it'll take decades, so by the time your job is threatened, you'll be ready to retire.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

Ultimately, generative AI are tools, not magic. We're now past the hype phase and are now at the leveling out phase of the S-curve as people realizes that these things are limited.

I think ChatGPT is mostly going to be used as an automated copywriter for emails and resumes and such, whereas diffusion models will find their way into digital artists' workflow.

Life goes on.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Genuine question: How hard is it to fix A.I. Hallucinations?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 11 months ago)

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[–] [email protected] -1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Isn't ChatGPT's launch only less than 6 months old or something...

[–] [email protected] -1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Reminds me of the article saying open ai is doomed because it can only last about thirty years with its current level of expenditure.

[–] [email protected] -1 points 1 year ago

OpenAI must evolve into serving something other than generative AI.

The compute bills for OpenAI are crazy. They would need more paying customers to try and at least keep the service somewhat viable.

https://futurism.com/the-byte/chatgpt-costs-openai-every-day