this post was submitted on 27 Jan 2024
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I think if Texas pulled the trigger on secession, there’d be a few states that joined up with them, I don’t know that it’d be the entire US against just one state. If they seriously went for it, it’d probably be because they thought they had enough strength in numbers.
Unfortunately for them though, Republican-leaning states tend to have lower populations and wouldn’t really be able to provide much help. Florida I guess has a big population too, but not sure how helpful they’d be either with their demographics.
On the plus side though, we could potentially clear out alot of these MAGA idiots in office, assuming we actually started punishing people for insurrection.
The larger the state, the more internal resistance there will be. Not everyone in Texas or Florida will want to secede, and everybody can buy a gun. It's one thing to gather some pride boys and meal team six larpers in the town square and march around for a bit, but it's an entirely other thing to defend territory when you're outnumbered, outgunned, and half the population is against you.
Oklahoma and Arkansas might be up for it, but there's no way secessionists hold Miami or Austin.
2 issues there: the food and fuel for those cities move through the traitor parts of the state. Supply lines will be a major issue in the early weeks of any major event. In addition to that, those blue cities aren't homogeneous just like their states aren't, so there will be further subdivision past the metro line.
Counter point: how will they pay for an army, the power grid, and supplies? Not to mention the fact that the local ar-15 touting, walmart-scooter-surfer isnt equipped to protect its supply lines from air superiority, let alone a global navy, when blockaded?
They will face the same issues that destroyed them 160 years ago, but 1000x the difficulty
That works both ways, though, and the US Military is going to have significant logistics advantages. Coastal cities can resupply from boats, and Texas doesn't have anti-aircraft defenses along the northern and western borders. In the event of a declared armed insurrection, it won't last long enough for milk to go bad in the fridge.