this post was submitted on 10 Jan 2024
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Yeah 15-20 feels right. But I'm talking about the bottom up. When AI replaces people, it'll start with the junior roles doing grunt work. I would not be surprised if entry level engineering positions are currently beginning to be displaced, or at minimum new openings evaporating.
I disagree. There are tons of software improvements that reduce the amount of grunt / unnecessary work devs do all the time, and I never hear or see anything about layoffs due to those.
Update from using Python / JS / C / Java to using Rust? You're going to be way more productive long term because you're not nonstop debugging shitty runtime issues and ancient legacy XML based configurations nobody knows about. Does that mean we lay people off since we're way more efficient now? No.