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Definitely not a question of AI sentience, I'd say we're as close to that as the Wright Brothers were to figuring out the Apollo moon landing. But, it definitely raises questions on whether or not we should be giving everybody access to machines that can fabricate erroneous statements like this at random and what responsibility the companies creating them have if their product pushes someone to commit suicide or radicalizes them into committing an act of terrorism or something. Because them shrugging and saying, "Yeah, it does that sometimes. We can't and won't do anything about it, though" isn't gonna cut it, in my opinion.
So about 66 years then? I personally think we're very far from creating anything on par with human intelligence, but that isn't necessary for a lot of terrible things to come from AI tech. Honestly I would be more comfortable with a human-level or greater AI than something lesser still capable of agency.
If an AI is making decisions with consequences I'd prefer that it could be reasoned with as a peer, or at the least be smart enough to consider its' own long-term sustainability, which must in some way be linked with that of humanity's.
The Wright Brothers didn't figure out the moon landing. They figured out aerodynamics. There were plenty of other discoveries that went into the moon landing such as suborbital flight, supersonic flight, and orbital dynamics to list a few. It's less about the specific time as it is about the level of technology. The timescale is much harder to put down due to the nature of technological innovation.
As for the rest, I completely agree. One of the most dangerous things about these AI programs is the lack of responsibility or culpability.
You read about the teenager who fell in love with danaerys Targaryen who convinced him to join her, so he killed himself? Yeah, the public was not ready for AI
While I agree this is probably just reddit data contamination and weird hallucination, it might not be in the future. We don't know what makes us sentient, we argue what other animals might be actually sentient beside us, how can we even tell when machine becomes sentient?
As corporations put more and more power, and alter the models more and more, at some time it might actually become sentient, and we will dismiss it like every other time. It might be in a year, or maybe in a 100 years, but if machine sentience is even possible, it is inevitable. And we might not be able to tell at all - LLMs are made to talk, and they have all the human knowledge at it's disposal, it's already convincing enough to fool a bunch of people.
Personal opinion here ! I think we shouldn't think of setiency in a human way. Like every animal being can see but most of them don't see the same way we are. Or trees can communicate with each other, but not in the same way as we are.
We should broader our spectrum of possibilities and stop thinking in a binary way when talking about the world that surrounds us.
I agree, not only is it inevitable it will also be our own demise. I think of it like our own body (at some degree) is protecting us from external threat to keep us safe. Specially now they are playing arround with neurons on SoCs. The question is not "IF" but "WHEN". There will be a point of no return where AI will be infinitely more "intelligent" we will ever be, where it can feed it's own data and controls everything related to information and change things to it's liking.
Most people would say, just unplug that machine ! But what if It could spread through our own media and replicate itself through all our hyper connected space?
The limit is our own imagination. But if it wants to survive, It would know It should keep discrete and hide until the right time to strike. Because nobody wants to be a slave controlled by others.
Just my 2cent.