this post was submitted on 15 Oct 2024
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No they don't.
The UK national grid estimates there needs to be a 4-5% increase each year, for roughly 15 years. That's achievable.
The US won't be too different.
Why quadruple. Where are you getting this from?
They obviously won't.
Fossil fuel power plants don't count. EVs running of fossil fuel make no sense. Remove them from the equation and my prediction becomes extremely optimistic.
In what world don't they count?
They can power EVs. And running an EV on fossil fuel electricity is still far less polluting than running a petrol or diesel car.
One large generator at its most efficient setting is far more efficient than tens of thousands of small ones starting from cold multiple times per day, that aren't necessarily maintained well, and are constantly going through their rev range.
Where are your sources for any of what you're saying?
EVs are currently running partially on fossil fuel just fine and generating less pollution than ICEs because power plant efficiency is still better than combustion engine efficiency.