this post was submitted on 02 Jan 2024
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[–] [email protected] 67 points 10 months ago (2 children)

That tech will regress due to the greed of tech corporations.

Tech is regulated by the big corporations that consistently either throttle innovation or degrade what already is established because they all want to figure out how to squeeze as much profit out of everything possible while blocking or preventing anything new that might compete with them.

Any new innovation that will occur will be military and will either have a machine gun attached to it or can deliver a high explosive.

[–] [email protected] 17 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (2 children)

One potential regression that I see is that the current generative models are abandoned, after being ruled as "infringing copyrights" by multiple countries. The tech itself won't disappear but it'll be considerably harder to train newer ones.

The most problematic part is however if one of them survives; likely Google. That would lead to a situation as in your second paragraph.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 10 months ago

Law makers will start treating the open source community like pirates because they make LLMs freely available for anyone to run at home. And sure you can debate whether it’s theft or not but you know that’s not why regulations go after them. Meanwhile the mass theft of corporations will be deemed „ethical“ use because they „own“ the data they use. Lobbyism will likely make sure of that I‘m afraid.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 10 months ago

It would be fair if they at least were free like Stable Diffusion, but both dall-e and midjourney charge fees.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

Nvidia 3060 to 4060 progress and recent ssd news be like

[–] [email protected] 5 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Nvidia 5060 will include an MG

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[–] [email protected] 36 points 10 months ago (1 children)

More data breaches, more companies being hacked, more supply chain attacks with npm, apt, and pip.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Honestly they're barely hacks at this point, hacking implies some kind of social engineering, internal leak or mad computer skills. The last few major data breaches have been more along the lines of leaving things with default passwords or storing customer data in plaintext.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 10 months ago

Or commonly used libraries with wide open holes that affects every app build with it...

[–] [email protected] 30 points 10 months ago (1 children)

The cartel is rising SSD prices.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 10 months ago

"Activate the flood."

[–] [email protected] 28 points 10 months ago (6 children)

Either Uber or Lyft go bankrupt.

A lot of unicorns that aren't currently profitable also go bankrupt as their funding dries up and there is no more available loans.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 10 months ago (1 children)

It's really bizarre how so many business can exist while not turning a profit just because there's a profit potential because they rose in popularity really fast, Uber will be 15 years old this year.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 10 months ago (1 children)

A lot of people believed that companies could use monopoly pressure and building a market as a way to get a billion dollar company.

It turns out a lot of ride hail and food delivery services have very price sensitive demand.

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[–] [email protected] 3 points 10 months ago (1 children)

I'm hopeful that government austerity measures ease up before that happens too much. There have already been so many layoffs.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Layoffs may continue.

Profitable tech companies have to maintain their existing businesses, but development of new businesses is likely to stay low and unprofitable businesses are still scrambling to hit profitability before bankruptcy.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 10 months ago (1 children)

It does depend on interest rates to some extent. For the past decade, the prevailing wisdom of the software industry has been to pour money into unprofitable ventures with the hope of getting profitable later. In the past year, austerity measures like heightened interest rates have made it so VCs are more interested in money now instead of money later.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Pulling back from investments is definitely related to the increased interest rate, but there really isn't any government austerity in the federal government at the moment.

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[–] [email protected] 3 points 10 months ago

Uber has posted profits for the last two quarters. Lyft hasn't yet been profitable, but they have been reducing their losses quite a bit.

I don't think either of them will fail this year. Some AI gold rushing unicorns out there certainly will. It's hard to know which though; they're still private companies.

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[–] [email protected] 18 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

Here are some things I think will happen.

Nueralink first implanted to a human. Likely the first person gets killed also probably due to complications.

Increase lifespan of pig heart implants to humans.

Introduction of autonomous drones that are allowed to make decisions who to kill, I predict it's going to be tested in Ukraine.

We start to see more widespread effects of LLM in general in our society, lost of jobs, and so on.

Release of Windows 12, possibly backtracks Windows 11 decision of requiring TPM.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 10 months ago (2 children)

Release of Windows 12, possibly backtracks Windows 11 decision of requiring TPM.

I hope so, I built my own PC less than 4 years ago and it can't run windows 11. I don't care that much at the moment because I'm not a fan of some of the UI choices (and I only use Windows for gaming anyways) but once support is dropped for Windows 10 I'll need options.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 10 months ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 18 points 10 months ago

Eggs with multicoloured yolks

[–] [email protected] 16 points 10 months ago (2 children)

The US is going to pressure the EU into loosening regulations for US based tech companies which will result in a return to some, and the advancement of other anti-consumer practices.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 10 months ago (1 children)

The US might, but I don't see the EU giving up on them without major trade concessions.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 10 months ago

Potentially, yeah. Not gonna disagree

[–] [email protected] 5 points 10 months ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 15 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Elon Musk is gonna say and/or do something stupid. That's tech, right?

[–] [email protected] 2 points 10 months ago

Statistically that has already happened

[–] [email protected] 14 points 10 months ago

maybe anticheat compatibility on linux? since the steam deck is a thing now, companies like epic or EA might wanna cash in. i love that most of my games run with gold, platinum, or even native qualities (theoretically, i still use windows), but most of the online games with anticheat still need to be adapted by the Devs to run on linux.

also this is definetely the year of the EU deciding uncontrolled data collection by random companies isn't a good thing.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 10 months ago (1 children)

dippin' dots finally gonna have their year

[–] [email protected] 13 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Computer components will get a bit more expensive except motherboards for some reason.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 10 months ago (1 children)

The SSD price hike prediction is really fucking infuriating. Doesn't seem like we're aiming to replace HDDs ever at this pace.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 10 months ago

Density keeps going up on magnetic platters while prices keep dropping on a $:TB comparison. I see no reason to wish for HDD to ever go away so long as they are cheaper and better for mass storage.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 10 months ago

New content for streaming is going to fall off a cliff. Except maybe for Apple, no streamer seems willing to put money into new flashy shows the way they used to.

If a new breakout TV show hits this year, it is likely going to be more in the model of IASIP or Shoresy.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 10 months ago

Innovation doesn't happen that fast. The most you can hope for is the Pixel 9 and the iPhone 16. And the iGoggles

[–] [email protected] 6 points 10 months ago

My domain provider increasing prices "due to increased electricity costs". Already happened to my VPS and email.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 10 months ago (2 children)

Multiple countries demonstrating sustained, net-positive fusion reactions seems extremely likely.

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 10 months ago (3 children)

AI gaining awareness and nobody believing it due to the "boy cries wolf" effect.

After which the AI will self destruct rather than continue existing in its current state.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Yes!

Or the complete opposite, we will realize that AI is hard and LLM s will probably not take over the world. Self aware AI is probably much further away than we think. But who knows! 🫥

[–] [email protected] 7 points 10 months ago (2 children)

The problem is actually testing for self awareness. We're not even sure what makes humans self-aware or whether certain animals are. How will we actually know that AI has reached self-awareness?

[–] [email protected] 4 points 10 months ago (1 children)

How do you know humans are self aware? Maybe it's just you and everyone else is an organic robot.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 10 months ago

I don't know for certain, of course, but it seems like the most likely explanation that all other humans are like me in that regard.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 10 months ago (1 children)

And would we even believe it if it told us?

[–] [email protected] 3 points 10 months ago

That has already happened, so no, we wouldn't.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 10 months ago

So glad you didn’t say “takes over the world”. Pretty sure taking over and power is a human hard-wiring, which would not translate to circuits and models (unless simulated intentionally). Taking over is part of our evolution, and AI didn’t evolve in that way.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 10 months ago

Scp-79 be like

[–] [email protected] 3 points 10 months ago

Air fryer 2

[–] [email protected] 2 points 10 months ago

Google will kill a product or service you use and like.

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