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this post was submitted on 25 Feb 2024
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Technology
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This. The technology is here to stay and will literally change the world. In a few years when the Sora and SD3 models are released and well understood, and desktop GPUs begin offering 24GB vram to midrange cards out of demand, it will be crazier than we can imagine. LLMs are already near human level with enough compute. As tech gets faster and commoditized, everyone becomes and artist and a programmer. Information will no longer be trusted, and digital verification technology will proliferate.
Invest now.
That and nuclear batteries capable of running pi like machines for decades. 1w is on the horizon by BetaVolt.
I'm not sure why you're being downvoted. I don't think the current technology is going to replace programmers or artists any time soon (speaking as someone who works as an artist and programmer in a field that monitors ai and its uses) but I also acknowledge that my guess is as good as yours.
I don't think it's going to replace artists because as impressive as the demos we all see are, inevitably, whenever I've done any thorough testing, every AI model fails at coming up with something new. It's so held back by what it's trained on, that to contemplate it replacing an artist - who are very capable of imagining new things - seems absurd to me.
Same with programming - ask for something it doesn't know about and it'll lie and make something up and confidently proclaim it as truth. It can't fact check itself and so I can only see it as a time saving tool for professionals and a really cool way for hobbyists to get results that were otherwise off the table.
I cant speak for certain about generating art, I'm no artist and my limit of experience there is playing around with stable diffusion, but it feels like its in the same place as LLMs for programming. Its incredibly impressive at first but once you've used it for a bit the flaws become obvious. It will be a very powerful tool for artists to use, just like LLMs are for programming, and will likely significantly decrease the time needed to produce something, but is nowhere near replacing a human entirely.
Yeah, for art it's similar, you can get some really compelling results, but once tasked with creating something a bit too specific it ends up wasting your time more than anything.
There's definitely uses for it and it's really cool, but I don't think it's as close to replacing professionals as some people think.
Unique style paintings will become even more valuable in the future. Generative AI only spews "art" based on previous styles it learned / was trained on. Everything will be even more rehashed than it is today (nod to Everything is a Remix). Having a painting made by an actual human hand on your wall will be more ego-boosting than an AI generated one.
Sure, for general digital art (ie logos, game character design, etc) when uniqueness isn't really mandatory, AI is a good, very cheap tool.
As for the "everyone becomes a programmer" part... naah.
Nothing really changes, this has always been the case.