this post was submitted on 08 Sep 2023
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I agree with you, but writing human readable code will become a cottage craft and hobby as while it is good to know, AI will just be so much faster and better that coding anything yourself will make little business sense. I am already writing way less code, especially with the 100k token windows over on Poe.com which seems to handle most of my script sizes.
Certainly not in the next 3-5 years will this be a thing.
This might handle scripts as you described, but just wait until it needs the context of random bits of a tens-of-millions-of-lines monorepo plus knowledge of custom infrastructure that isn't documented anywhere and--oh wait, we can't actually let this LLM-as-a-service read our code because X and Y compliance/security/legal/etc, even if we ran it on-prem.
The robots aren't coming for you so soon, don't worry.
I think you are right if the progress on AI is linear, but if it continues to be exponential, nothing you said, even undocumented is going to be a barrier. That assumes AGI is coming and is as smart as the smartest people. We will see, but my money is on the progress surprising everyone. I am surprised by how much AI has improved over the last 6 months alone.