this post was submitted on 19 Dec 2023
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41% of fediverse instances have blocked threads so far!!! (tech.lgbt)
submitted 10 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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[–] [email protected] 4 points 10 months ago (2 children)

I'd argue the phone apps are instant messaging and I'm a little surprised none of the previously-dominant PC-based IM apps made the transition successfully. Most of the ones currently popular do have web or native PC options though.

I think we're more likely to see users move from Threads to Mastodon than the other direction. Ideally, we'll be able to offer a more compelling pitch than just "not corporate".

[–] [email protected] 4 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

Regardless of how you classify them, nobody was ever going to figure out how to sideload a jabber client onto their flip phones or iphone 1 or blackberries.

And that is kind of the thing. Maybe Google got a larger market share of the IM market (I assume AIM was still dominant in the US and ICQ in the rest of the world) by using XMPP but better. But the market got wiped out by SMS and imessage and now is mostly shared between (depending on your country) whatsapp, line, and the imessage. ... And I still use Hangouts.

Even if XMPP had been dominant on PC (which is not at all what EEE is about but...), it would not have survived as people shifted away from sitting at a computer and typing and moved toward stopping in the middle of the sidewalk and using their thumbs on a phone screen.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 10 months ago

That's a really good point imho. Maybe Google just made a better product... or at least a more accessible product.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 10 months ago (1 children)

I think we're more likely to see users move from Threads to Mastodon than the other direction.

I keep seeing people say things like this, but it's just naive. Meta isn't spending billions of dollars just to give their captive audience an offramp.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 10 months ago

I'm not sure what Meta's goal is with adding federation to Threads. Some options include:

  • Preempting government scrutiny for monopolistic practices
  • Gaining a competitive advantage against Xitter/Bluesky/etc...
  • Giving Threads users access to more people/content

As for why I think the flow of users is likely to be away from Threads:

  • People who already actively use Mastodon and the like tend to be fairly technically sophisticated and anti-corporate. Not many of those will switch to a Meta product when they can reach the same audience without it.
  • Most people who joined Threads got there via Instagram. Those sorts of mainstream users mostly haven't been exposed to decentralized, non-corporate social media. The added exposure of seeing it from Threads is more marketing than these open source projects could ever hope to buy.