this post was submitted on 08 Dec 2024
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The GPT Era Is Already Ending (www.theatlantic.com)
submitted 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
 

If this is the way to superintelligence, it remains a bizarre one. “This is back to a million monkeys typing for a million years generating the works of Shakespeare,” Emily Bender told me. But OpenAI’s technology effectively crunches those years down to seconds. A company blog boasts that an o1 model scored better than most humans on a recent coding test that allowed participants to submit 50 possible solutions to each problem—but only when o1 was allowed 10,000 submissions instead. No human could come up with that many possibilities in a reasonable length of time, which is exactly the point. To OpenAI, unlimited time and resources are an advantage that its hardware-grounded models have over biology. Not even two weeks after the launch of the o1 preview, the start-up presented plans to build data centers that would each require the power generated by approximately five large nuclear reactors, enough for almost 3 million homes.

https://archive.is/xUJMG

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 2 weeks ago (21 children)

I always thought it was a small team, not millions. But yeah, one monkey with infinite time makes sense.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 2 weeks ago (20 children)

The whole point is that one of the terms has to be infinite. But it also works with infinite number of monkeys, one will almost surely start typing Hamlet right away.

The interesting part is that has already happened, since an ape already typed Hamlet, we call him Shakespeare. But at the same time, monkeys aren't random letter generators, they are very intentional and conscious beings and not truly random at all.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (12 children)

one will almost surely start typing Hamlet right away

This is guaranteed with infinite monkeys. In fact, they will begin typing every single document to have ever existed, along with every document that will exist, right from the start. Infinity is very, very large.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 week ago

they will begin typing every single document to have ever existed, along with every document that will exist

Excellent. Now I just need to figure out which one of them is doing my taxes.

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