this post was submitted on 29 Mar 2024
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Long game supply chain attacks, pretty much going to be state actors. And I wouldn't chalk it up to the usual malicious ones like China and Russia. This could be the NSA just as easily.
I honestly think the NSA has changed. If you look at the known backdoors they haven't got caught making any new backdoors since like 2010. Their MO also seems to be more hardware and encryption (more of an observational charter) than manipulation.
There's also evidence US Congress acted to stop the NSA from doing these underhanded tacits at least once https://www.wired.com/story/nsa-backdoors-closed/
They're not idiots, lots of smart people there that surely understand the risk of something like this to US national security interests. It's not the NSA that's been asking for encryption to be broken in recent years. They've been warning about quantum threats and ... from what I'm aware of actually been taking on the defensive role they were conducted to perform https://gizmodo.com/nsa-plans-to-act-now-to-ensure-quantum-computers-cant-b-1757038212
This seems like something that could actually be weaponized against predominantly western technology companies so I'd be very surprised if it was them and very surprised if they used someone that appears to be a Chinese born resident to do it.
I really can't believe they've stopped. Their mentality is "national security has no morals". They'll do everything they can do to facilitate that mission, though not getting caught is a big part of the facade they need to put on to keep or renovate their image to do this.
Maybe they're being more careful, and doing simple things like putting in timestamps that emulate working hours in other timezones are certainly the first thing they're going to think about. That one has always cracked me up, security researchers point to it like it's proof of something, which is ridiculous. Just like our people are smart, I don't think the foreign actors are dumb either.
And before you say it, I'd be all over not being paranoid if it hadn't been proven to me time and again that these agencies won't change, that they don't give a shit about what's right if it gets in the way of their mandate. The only thing that might change is how well they hide things now and intimidate their people into staying quiet. Because potential whistleblowers have seen the examples that have been made.
Personally I suspect they're getting all the information they care about via subpoenas on big data and social media companies. They don't have a need to compromise security on a technical level anymore because the justice system itself is compromised. That means backdoors only benefit national enemies at this point, so the NSA of today would rather those not exist at all.
Of course that's not to say anyone should trust those agencies at their word on anything.