this post was submitted on 31 Jan 2024
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Engineers now: We built an airport, 9 years behind schedule and at 233% the cost.
We are rebuilding a train station at (currently) 366% the planned cost and an estimated delivery time of 200% the original estimate, into rock that might swell when in contact with water and heave the station out of the ground, in order to decrease the station’s capacity by 17%
estimates are just that, a guess
Well sure that's fundamentally true, but really doesn't give any sort of accurate picture of how estimates are done any more than "humans are just collections of cells" does, and anybody who does estimates without using some sort of data as the basis and is purely guessing is doing it wrong as fuck.
It's not like we have no idea how long certain tasks have taken in the past, or what affects how long something will take.