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AI Expert Warns Crash Is Imminent As AI Improvements Hit Brick Wall (futurism.com)

submitted 1 day ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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[–] [email protected] 31 points 1 day ago (5 children)

"The economics are likely to be grim," Marcus wrote on his Substack. "Sky high valuation of companies like OpenAI and Microsoft are largely based on the notion that LLMs will, with continued scaling, become artificial general intelligence."

"As I have always warned," he added, "that's just a fantasy."

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (3 children)

Even Zuckerberg admits that trying to scale LLMs larger doesn’t work because the energy and compute requirements go up exponentially. There must exist a different architecture that is more efficient, since the meat computers in our skulls are hella efficient in comparison.

Once we figure that architecture out though, it’s very likely we will be able to surpass biological efficiency like we have in many industries.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago

With current stat prediction models?

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