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You do all this on three pounds of wet meat powered by cornflakes.
The idea we'll never recreate it through deliberate effort is absurd.
What you mean is, LLMs probably aren't how we get there. Which is fair. "Spicy autocorrect" is a limited approach with occasionally spooky results. It does a bunch of stuff people insisted would never happen without AGI - but that's how this always goes. The products of human intelligence have always shown some hard-to-define qualities which humans can eventually distinguish from our efforts to make a machine produce anything similar.
Just remember the distinction got narrower.
I agree. Very few people in industry are claiming that LLMs will become AGI. The release of o1 demonstrates that even OpenAI are pivoting from pure LLM approaches. It was always going to be a framework approach that utilizes LLMs.
I had hopes for recurrent systems becoming kinda... Dixie Flatline. Maybe not general enough to learn, but spooky enough to evaluate claims.