this post was submitted on 01 Jun 2024
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[T]he report's executive summary certainly gets to the heart of their findings.

"The rhetoric from small modular reactor (SMR) advocates is loud and persistent: This time will be different because the cost overruns and schedule delays that have plagued large reactor construction projects will not be repeated with the new designs," says the report. "But the few SMRs that have been built (or have been started) paint a different picture – one that looks startlingly similar to the past. Significant construction delays are still the norm and costs have continued to climb."

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[–] [email protected] 33 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (55 children)

Nuclear technologies missed their window. The use cases where they are the best technical solution now are extremely limited, and that means you can get the investment going to improve them.

It’s a curiosity now.

There’s an alternative timeline where Chernobyl doesn’t happen and we decarbonize by leaning on nuclear in the nineties, then transition to renewables about now. But that’s not our timeline. And if it were, it would be in the past now.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 5 months ago (13 children)

So, essentially, nuclear power is like airships, except with worse disasters?

[–] [email protected] 6 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (12 children)

More people died in airship incidents than in civil nuclear power.

E: typo

[–] [email protected] 4 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Mmmm. Looking at:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Airship

Roughly I'd say it's at most 200-300 people. Airships just didn't carry many at once.

If you look at:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_nuclear_and_radiation_fatalities_by_country

You easily go past the airships estimate. One that surprised me was: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Windscale_fire

"Estimated 100 to 240 cancer fatalities in the long term"

You can beat airships deaths will just one of big accidents.

https://ourworldindata.org/what-was-the-death-toll-from-chernobyl-and-fukushima

[–] [email protected] 2 points 5 months ago (2 children)

I explicitly wrote "civil nuclear power". I know there were big incidents, especially in early military nuclear sites. Windscale and Kyshtym are two of those.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Kind of academic as your still go past the small number killed in airships.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago (1 children)

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_airship_accidents

For the total number of airships, the loss of life (and airships) is quite high...

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago

I get about 450 (as kids bounce on me). It's not nothing, about the same as Chernobyl alone (many got thyroid cancer but lived). Let alone adding 2314 for Fukushima.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 5 months ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 children)

I never agreed that its outmoded or old tech.

At Fukushima Daichii died one worker of radiation poisoning and one in a crane incident. The evacuation killed 51 more. Scientific consense is, that the loss of life and cumulative lifetime would have been lower if there was no evacuation.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago (1 children)

"No evacuation." Have you ever actually talked to people?

You know that nuclear power plant up the road? They just had a big accident, we don't know exactly what's going on, and at least one person is already dead from radiation. But it's fine, and you shouldn't worry or leave the area.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago (1 children)

There was a massive tsunami in the area killing almost 20k people, the power plant was not their first concern.

The guy died 4 years after the accident from lung cancer, not very common in nuclear power.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago

You know that nuclear power plant up the road? They just had a big accident, we don’t know exactly what’s going on, and at least one person is already dead from radiation. But it’s fine, and you shouldn’t worry or leave the area.

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